The Super Bowl indicator is a nonscientific barometer of the stock market. It was introduced by sports writer Leonard Koppett in 1978. The indicator suggests that a Super Bowl win for an AFC team The Super Bowl Indicator is a spurious correlation that says that the stock market's performance in a given year can be predicted based on the outcome of the Super Bowl of that year. It was "discovered" by Leonard Koppett in 1978 [ 1 ] when he realized that it had never been wrong, until that point. The thesis behind the Super Bowl stock indicator is this: If an AFC team wins the Super Bowl, a stock market decline or bear market can be expected by year-end. Conversely, if an NFC team wins, it And a Super Bowl win for an AFC team hasn’t been bearish for stocks in recent years, either. The past four times an AFC team was crowned as champs — the Chiefs in 2020, the New England Patriots in 2019 and 2017, and the Denver Broncos in 2016 — the blue chip stock gauge finished the year up 7.3 percent, 22.3 percent, 25.1 percent and 13.4 The stock market and the Super Bowl winners were only in sync in 2021 when the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (NFC) won. The S&P 500 gained 14.51% that year. Furthermore, the indicator has many flaws since many teams, such as the Pittsburgh Steelers, changed conferences. The Super Bowl Indicator, a curious financial superstition, has captivated the minds of investors and sports enthusiasts alike since its introduction by Leonard Koppett in 1978. This speculative barometer suggests a correlation between the winner of the Super Bowl and the subsequent performance of the stock market. A good day for the offenses in this year’s Super Bowl could mean a good year for the stock market is in store, according to new data from S&P Global Market Intelligence. Super Bowls in which the "Super Bowl Winner May Predict Stock Market Trends." The New York Times. 29 January 2000. Norris, Floyd. "The Super Bowl Predicts the Market, and Vice Versa." Even though there's no way the Super Bowl can affect the market, for years people have been looking for signs from the game on how the stock market will perform in the following 11 months. Because the winner of Super Bowl LVII might very well determine the direction of the stock market for the rest of 2023. The Take: Investors are commonly on the lookout for market signals that can Breaking down whether the winner of the Big Game accurately predicts the direction of the stock market. P 500 index since 1980 to see if the Super Bowl winner does indeed predict the upcoming The next chart plots average daily S&P 500 Index returns from five trading days before “Super Sunday” (S-5) through five trading days after (S+5), excluding two Mondays before the Super Bowl that are market holidays. The most consistent indication is mid-week strength after the Super Bowl. LPL Financial Chief Market Strategist Ryan Detrick joins Yahoo Finance Live to discuss the Super Bowl's historical relevancy with stock market trends, volatility, correction periods, and market For instance, the higher the points scored in a game, the better for the stock market. "When the teams in the Super Bowl combine to score at least 46 points, the stock market returns 16.3% on That’s because they believe in the well-known “Super Bowl Indicator,” which says the U.S. stock market will rise for the year so long as the game’s winning team was never a part of the There is obviously no logical reason for the Super Bowl outcome and the stock market to be related, but the Super Bowl indicator has a surprising rate of accuracy of around 80%. So is it true? The so-called Super Bowl indicator was first introduced in a column by Leonard Koppett in 1978 as a joke. He based the results on the outcomes of the The predictive power of the Super Bowl "theory," which involves an apparent correlation between stock market performance and the results of the National Football League championship game, has Super Bowl LIX is almost here. On Sunday night at the iconic Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, the Philadelphia Eagles and the Kansas City Chiefs will clash in the 59th rendition of America’s The S&P 500 index soared 26% in 2003, the only previous year that Tampa Bay won the Super Bowl. The stock market typically performs better when a team from the National Football League (now In fact, in the most recent Super Bowls, stocks have done slightly better after an AFC team has won the game. I t’s obvious that the winner of the Super Bowl has no effect on the stock market
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